Pre-tourney Rankings
Arkansas St.
Sun Belt
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.3#161
Expected Predictive Rating-0.2#169
Pace72.2#73
Improvement+1.3#117

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#152
Improvement+1.2#110

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#187
Improvement+0.1#166
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2013 305   @ Jackson St. W 65-61 75%     1 - 0 -2.8 -8.1 +5.3
  Nov 13, 2013 320   Tennessee Martin W 72-62 90%     2 - 0 -4.0 -17.3 +12.6
  Nov 16, 2013 109   @ Wyoming L 64-85 27%     2 - 1 -14.3 -1.4 -13.7
  Nov 18, 2013 55   @ Colorado L 70-93 14%     2 - 2 -10.9 -2.1 -6.5
  Nov 24, 2013 335   Central Arkansas W 99-56 93%     3 - 2 +26.9 +3.9 +16.5
  Nov 30, 2013 342   @ Lamar W 95-89 87%     4 - 2 -5.6 +13.7 -19.6
  Dec 02, 2013 277   Niagara W 86-61 82%     5 - 2 +15.8 -3.0 +15.6
  Dec 14, 2013 49   @ Nebraska L 67-79 13%     5 - 3 +0.6 -3.8 +5.4
  Dec 17, 2013 107   Toledo L 65-78 47%     5 - 4 -11.8 -12.2 +0.4
  Dec 21, 2013 232   @ Marshall W 83-82 57%     6 - 4 -0.4 +5.7 -6.1
  Jan 02, 2014 216   @ Texas Arlington W 82-66 52%     7 - 4 1 - 0 +15.7 +3.5 +11.5
  Jan 04, 2014 276   @ Texas St. W 74-69 65%     8 - 4 2 - 0 +1.5 +5.8 -4.2
  Jan 09, 2014 248   Troy L 84-98 77%     8 - 5 2 - 1 -21.5 -0.5 -19.8
  Jan 11, 2014 250   South Alabama W 72-60 77%     9 - 5 3 - 1 +4.5 +0.1 +5.1
  Jan 16, 2014 72   @ Georgia St. L 72-73 18%     9 - 6 3 - 2 +9.0 +5.7 +3.2
  Jan 18, 2014 181   @ Western Kentucky L 77-82 2OT 44%     9 - 7 3 - 3 -3.2 -4.5 +2.1
  Jan 25, 2014 222   Arkansas Little Rock W 77-49 74%     10 - 7 4 - 3 +21.8 +0.6 +20.5
  Jan 30, 2014 243   @ Louisiana Monroe L 65-72 58%     10 - 8 4 - 4 -8.7 -0.7 -8.6
  Feb 01, 2014 248   @ Troy W 83-73 59%     11 - 8 5 - 4 +8.1 +7.5 +0.4
  Feb 10, 2014 181   Western Kentucky W 72-58 66%     12 - 8 6 - 4 +10.2 +2.6 +8.3
  Feb 13, 2014 250   @ South Alabama W 85-61 59%     13 - 8 7 - 4 +22.0 +21.0 +3.7
  Feb 15, 2014 122   @ Louisiana L 67-85 30%     13 - 9 7 - 5 -12.1 -11.0 +0.5
  Feb 20, 2014 216   Texas Arlington W 83-60 72%     14 - 9 8 - 5 +17.1 +7.1 +10.5
  Feb 22, 2014 276   Texas St. W 73-68 81%     15 - 9 9 - 5 -4.1 +1.7 -5.7
  Mar 01, 2014 222   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 67-74 54%     15 - 10 9 - 6 -7.6 -4.1 -3.6
  Mar 04, 2014 72   Georgia St. L 76-79 OT 35%     15 - 11 9 - 7 +1.4 -3.2 +4.8
  Mar 06, 2014 243   Louisiana Monroe W 64-58 77%     16 - 11 10 - 7 -1.3 -8.6 +7.4
  Mar 08, 2014 122   Louisiana L 76-77 50%     16 - 12 10 - 8 -0.7 -0.1 -0.5
  Mar 14, 2014 222   Arkansas Little Rock W 116-114 4OT 64%     17 - 12 -1.4 +8.8 -10.8
  Mar 15, 2014 72   Georgia St. L 45-72 26%     17 - 13 -19.8 -20.3 -3.6
Projected Record 17.0 - 13.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%